[SMM Analysis: Export Rush Fades, Tariff Costs Drag Down Lead-Acid Battery Exports]

Published: Sep 23, 2025 20:45
Source: SMM
[SMM Analysis: Export Rush Fades, Tariff Costs Drag Down Lead-Acid Battery Exports] SMM, September 23: According to customs data, China's lead-acid battery exports totaled 18.1577 million units in August 2025, down 14.7% MoM and 19.14% YoY. Cumulative exports from January to August 2025 reached 152 million units, a decrease of 7.93% YoY.

SMM, September 23: According to customs data, China's lead-acid battery exports totaled 18.1577 million units in August 2025, down 14.7% MoM and 19.14% YoY. Cumulative exports from January to August 2025 reached 152 million units, a decrease of 7.93% YoY.In August 2025, China imported 341,200 lead-acid batteries, down 13.43% MoM and 33.28% YoY. Cumulative imports from January to August 2025 stood at 3.5187 million units, declining 5.33% YoY.


In August, the SHFE/LME lead price ratio gradually widened, with domestic lead prices significantly higher than overseas markets. The monthly average export loss for lead ingots was around -2,500 yuan/mt, meaning China's lead-acid battery export costs were uncompetitive in overseas markets. Meanwhile, tariff policies such as those in the US (reciprocal tariffs) and the Middle East (anti-dumping punitive tariffs) increasingly impacted China's exports. The "export rush" orders from overseas customers' advance purchases were largely fulfilled by lead-acid battery enterprises in July. By August, exports returned to actual transactions but were weaker than pre-rush levels. Based on August export data, exports to 12 of the top 15 destinations declined MoM, including India (down 16.74%), the US (down 19.63%), the UAE (down 7.81%), and Saudi Arabia (down 65.13%). Exports to Southeast Asian countries also fell to varying degrees.

In September, the domestic-international lead price ratio expanded further, reaching levels that opened the import window for refined lead. Lead-acid battery export pressures multiplied, and with ongoing tariff impacts, September exports are expected to weaken further. According to feedback from lead-acid battery enterprises in Zhejiang, Guangdong, and other regions, domestic lead prices have fluctuated upward since Q3, raising production costs. Combined with tariff policies, export orders have continued to decline. Currently, operating rates are maintained at only 50-70%, with some enterprises even below 50%.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Feb 6, 2026 19:50
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Read More
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Lead prices were in the doldrums, while secondary lead smelters maintained firm offers due to losses. The mainstream spot order ex-factory prices including tax narrowed the discount to the SMM #1 lead average price by 100 yuan/mt, shifting to a premium of 0–25 yuan/mt, with some smelters halting offers and sales.
Feb 6, 2026 19:50
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Feb 6, 2026 19:49
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Read More
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Pre-holiday stockpiling by downstream enterprises had largely concluded, and a few had already entered the holiday period, completely suspending procurement. Next week, secondary lead smelters will enter a concentrated wave of production halts and holidays, resulting in sluggish trading activity in the spot market. Offers for spot refined lead orders were sparse, with prices moving in line with the market.
Feb 6, 2026 19:49
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Feb 6, 2026 19:48
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Read More
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
The domestic secondary crude lead market experienced sluggish transactions. As of February 6, 2026, the ex-factory tax-exclusive offers for domestic secondary crude lead stood at 15,250-15,400 yuan/mt. Downstream refined lead and alloy smelters gradually entered the holiday period, showing weak stockpiling willingness. Overseas lead ingot suppliers basically halted transactions with China due to poor consumption in the Chinese market, with only some previously concluded shipments maintaining normal in-transit transportation. The trading atmosphere in the secondary crude lead market will continue to weaken next week.
Feb 6, 2026 19:48